Global warming or just climate change

The major officials of most developed nations are Meeting in Copenhagen to discuss the politics and positioning of what was formerly known as global warming and now known as climate change. The reason they changed the name is that the recent research on climate temperatures has shown a decrease over the last several years. This study has not been recieved well by proponents of global warming. This is evident in the recent emails that have been leaked to the public from the group that supplies the U.N. with their data that showed they were making "tricks" or adjustments to the figures so they can show things in favor of the political position they like. So now they call it global climate change.
I am definately not a documented scientist nor do I hold a paper degree in science yet I do study a lot and have come across some findings by major scientists that have me asking questions about what these so called climate experts are saying.
I am not saying they are wrong with their research. It is easy to show that strange things are happening in the climate on our planet, however there may be other things going on that these so called experts may not be taking in to account.
Let me present my thoughts on this subject.
Let's cover a few things surrounding natural phenomenon on our planet and in our solar system to help us understand a few things. Now the most geologicaly active part of our world is volcanoes. One big volcanic eruption can spew as
Much as carbon dioxide as the entire city of L.A. does in a week. I think volcanoes play a huge roll in carbon emissions.
I believe it is around 80% of volcanic activity occur under water so a lot of carbon does not even make it to the atmosphere. A lot is stuck in the ocean. Now let's think this through. What do you get when you emit carbon dioxide in to water? Soda water. With a little sugar, caffine, and Carmel food coloring we would get Coke. I think there is a lot of carbon in solution I our water considering this has been happening for centuries. Now when you warm up soda the carbon dioxide solution breaks down and the gas is allowed to escape from the water. A process we call " going flat". As the ocean temperatures rise they could be expelling more and more carbon dioxide into the air that they have been holding for a long time. How much could they be spewing out I don't know. I'm not even sure if the climatologists know either. I do think it would be worth looking into.

Another question I have is about how our earth recieves heat. The bulk of the heat we experience comes from the sun. The sun is basically a giant ball of hydrogen gas that is under going the process of nuclear fusion where four hydrogen atoms are being smashed together to create helium. The result of this process is heat and light for us. Now I know that is a very simplified version of what really happens in the sun yet I think it will work for us. Because of the fusion the core of the sun is shrinking so to maintain balance the outer parts of the sum are expanding and getting bigger. This is the normal life cycle of stars like our sun. Because of this the sun is slowly coming closer to us and getting warmer. I'm not sure how fast the sun is heating up and how that is affecting us. I'm not sure if that has been accounted for in climate research.

Because of the radiation and highly charged particles the sun gives off our planet has an electromagnetic shield around us that helps to keep us safe. This shield is why we can use compasses for navigation. Scientists that study this field have realized tha it is a fluid thing and not a solid or non moving part of our planet. It does have fluctuations in it. Magnetic north actually is migrating away from true north a little each year. In studying the history of our magnetic field scientists have also found out that every several thousand years this field weakens and flips causing magnetic south to be in the north and vice versa. The last time the field weakened and flipped was around 8-10,000 years ago so really we are over due for this to occur. When the field weakens more radiation and charged particles will enter our atmosphere and can not only increase our temperatures some it can also increase cancer from sun exposure. There is quite a lot of evidence that our field is weakening and probably has been for a while now. They think it may flip in a few hundred to a thousand years. I have yet to see if this evidence has been accounted for in climate research.

I think the bulk of the research on climate change has been more based on the rise of ocean levels and the rapid loss of sea ice in the poles. While these are things to be concerned about there are other ways this can be accounted for other than just human caused carbon emissions. With all the earthquakes and volcano activity the ocean floor could be slowly getting shallower may be something to look at. I doubt it is a manor factor yet it points out that there are more than one way for this effect to have been caused.
Some scientists believe they have discovered antartica is a giant glacier that is sitting on an ancient volcano and there are signs that it may becoming active to an extent.

I do not think that any of the things Ive discussed here are the cause of the oceans warming up yet if they all worked in unison it could make a difference.
Now I do think we as humans can definately exacerbate the issue through emitting our own greenhouse gasses and we should work to make sure we are taking care of our planet and being good stewards of it. If we can find more efficient and cleaner ways of doing things we should consider switching to them anyway.

I'm just not convinced that it is all our fault. I think scientists can show that since the industrial age began we have had an increase in green house gases in the air yet I think we may have been more of a catalyst rather than the whole problem. We may have sped the cycle up that the earth was doing anyway.

Another factor in this is to look at scripture of the future and see what they say. We know in the book of revelation that before Jesus comes again on this earth that the wicked will be burned as stubble. Could that point to a warming anyway? In more modern revelation we learn that when the Lord is through teaching his gospel to the gentile nations through missionary work he will begin to teach them humility through major storms and earth quakes and plagues and pestilence. Climate change may just be us looking at what is going on and saying " boy, something is happening and we are headed in a bad direction." really it may be something we most likely will not be able to stop or even reverse. All we can do is slow our part down and see how that changes the effects we are experiencing.
If anyone has answers to if climate research has accounted for any of the ideas above please let me know. Otherwise I will continue to believe we are not the cause but we do need to stop contributing to it.

- Posted using BlogPress from my iPhone

Why 2012 is over rated and true

Since the movie 2012 has come out this weekend I thought I would discuss this subject since I have studied it for a while and I believe I have found some answers to this puzzle.

The reason that the year 2012, and more specifically December 21st 2012, has such controversy around it is because there are several old traditions that point to that date as being significant. Lets talk about some of these.

To begin lets go to Ancient America and the Mayan culture. They have developed a rather renown calendar that has created quite a stir. The ancient Mayan culture created a calendar that is linear in fashion rather than cyclical like ours. It is broken into several smaller parts that combine to create major periods called Baktuns that last just over 5,000 years each. According to this calendar around December 21st 2012 the end of the 12th Baktun and the beginning of the 13th Baktun occurs. According to their writings this is a significant time of major change. The era of this 13th Baktun is a higher age supposedly. Many westerners believe this is to be the end of the world as we know it. No real evidence exists in the culture to say it is the literal end of the world like the new movie would suggest.

Interestingly enough we have evidence form other cultures that point to this date as significant too. Another prominent one is Nostradamus. He was a student of Astrology or the study of how the planets are in position at a given time and how that affects us. Before you completely discredit this concept you do need to realize that planetary position does play a big role in life on this planet. The easiest one is to realize the gravitational effect the moon has on creating tides in our oceans which create wind that drive weather patterns. In a way it does matter. Maybe they have found patterns that represent things. In the scriptures we learn that the planets and stars are for signs and seasons for us. In his writings he talks about a time when the sun passes through a certain place in the sky in between the archer zodiac symbol and the scorpion symbol. When this happens there will be a significant change in how things go in this world. It points to a new spiritual time or rebirth. Many believe this will be the armageddon time before the Savior comes again.

I'm not so sure Armageddon will happen at this time. It is interesting to note that if you were to point a telescope at that particular point in the sky you would be looking directly to the center of our galaxy. Thanks to computers scientists have built a model of the solar system and by using star charts from Nostradamus' time they have figured out where all the planets were at that time. They fast forwarded their model until it reached the moment the he was mentioning. The date that corresponded to this moment would be December 21st, 2012. What this means is that for a brief moment you will be able to draw a straight line between the earth the sun and the center of our galaxy. Is this coincidence that two completely unrelated groups would come up with amazingly similar answers or is there something to this. Scientists do know that as the earth rotates and wobbles on its rotation that it goes through a minor change in degree angle of one degree every year. Every 26000 years this minor change comes full circle and goes back. This just happens in 2012 where the earth will have a tilt to encourage a good look toward the center of the galaxy.

Could this be a sign of something to change? It could. From a religious perspective, using astronomy has been around for a long time. We know that a new star in the sky was the sign given of the birth of the Savior in Jerusalem. In china around the same time their astronomers record such a phenomenon occuring which modern scientists believe was a super nova. That is when a star like our sun explodes and blows it outer parts off in a major blast. They are the brightest thing in our universe. There are other times when the stars were used for signs as well. So God can use astronomical things to further his work on the earth. We do not have much concrete evidence suggesting that God will use this 2012 event for his purposes or not. What I do know is that God tends to use patterns as he relates with us on this planet.

If 2012 were going to be Armageddon there are a few things God needs to do first.

In the book of Amos we learn that God does not do things without telling is representative on the planet (Prophets) what he is doing. If they were told I'm sure they would feel it best to warn us too. Another thing to consider is how did he go about destroying other nations in the past? If you look at it what he usually does is send messengers to preach repentance and changing or else destruction will come. They preach until the people reject them and they are either killed or cast out from the people. Then God steps in a does the destruction without any more warning. In Soddom and Gomorrah God warned the people through Lot and others before letting Lot to leave. Then they were destroyed.

With Noah he taught for over a century then was told to shut the doors to the Ark just before the floods came. There is usually a warning before the destruction. So the thing to think about is have we already been warned or have we not been warned at all? I think it behooves us to study what the prophets have said and make sure they have not already taught us and warned us. Also, most things God does uses the laws of nature which we know a lot about. He does not usually do crazy things that can't b explained. He put the natural laws in place and he uses them to his advantage. To many things might not seem like they are a miracle or amazing since God follows the laws. Most of the time when God does something major the preparation and real signs are subtle and not easy for someone who is not looking to miss them. The best example of this is the birth of the Savior. Easily one of the most significant events in history. It happened in a way that only those who were prepared could see it. Everyone else missed the significance. God usually works the real stuff in quiet and secret ways. He doesn't do many major things too fast. Its just the people get caught off guard since they were not prepared.

So, what do I think will happen on December 21st 2012? I think it will come and go without any problems. People will be afraid yet they will even get up in 2013 and not seem like anything is different. That is not to say nothing will happen. It's that the real changes will be subtle and missed by most. They will be looking for a sign rather than looking with faith. I say study the prophets, ancient and modern, and understand the message they have for us while always being prepared to meet our maker. If we are prepared we will have nothing to fear. Follow the prophets and they will give us the guidance we need.

Financial Education

One thing I have been studying a lot lately is how to improve my own financial education. The more I learn about economics and how money flows the more I wish this were taught in school. It is amazing to realize that how to be successful financially is not taught in schools nor even encouraged. I run the Cashflow Club of Utah on facebook and have been working to promote financial education to my friends and associates and most of them either ignore my comments or glaze over them and don't take them seriously. It is amazing the ignorance that exists around finances.

All the time on the news you hear about people who think that to be money smart and book smart are the same. People believe that if you have a good job and can pay your bills that you are fine. It's like in health, most people think the absence of pain is health. So the absence of financial trouble is good finances. That cannot be farther from the truth. I have a relative that is very smart. He has worked his whole life as an engineer and knows a heck of a lot. When he reached retirement age he had put so much money away that he and his wife would be fine for the rest of their life. his wife has never really had to work during their married life together.

He decided that since he is retired he would use his money in the stock market to create even more wealth for them. He thought that he could do it himself, for the most part. He did several things wrong. First he didn't invest in education first. Take several classes from experts in stock. It sounds so simple, buy low - sell high. Yet there is more to it than that. he then invested more than he could afford to lose. He took his own advice and put it in the stocks he chose rather than the stocks the market said are undervalued.

Now they are looking for jobs to have money during retirement. I have friends and acquaintances that follow the same path. It really bothers me that people don't realize just how money works. They think there house is an asset when it really is not. I know you can sell your house for a profit in the future yet until you sell it it is costing you money. Even if you pay off the mortgage you pay taxes and maintenance. Assets are not meant to take money from you. They put money in your pocket. I think that is one of the many ideas people used to get themselves into the mess we are in right now. They used their house like a checking account. Borrowing the equity to buy more stuff. Now that the market has tanked they are upside down and feel their biggest asset is now gone. They are letting the house go to foreclosure and moving on.

I think people have bought too much into the sales pitch of the financial world and not enough into the reality of finances. Money really isnt that hard to understand yet it is not taught. All w learn is to save money in the bank, live below our means, do what our leaders tell us to do and diversify for protection for the long term.

Lets take the time to debunk these now.

Saving money in the bank- This advice is a major one that came from people who lived during the depression. back then it was very good advice. Even during the 1950's this advice worked. IT was hard to lose the value of your money so all you had to do was set enough aside. In 1971 this advice became obsolete. President Nixon took us off the Gold Standard completely and made our money a floating currency with a value that could be controlled and moved around. The value of our money went from having Gold in a vault to back it up to a promise from the government that it was worth something. Since then you need to think about money less on the face value of the dollar bill and more on the percieved value of the bill, or its spending power. The one dollar bill has not changed in face value since 1930 yet it buys you far less than it did back then. A can of soda back then may have been a penny or dime while now it costs around a dollar for the same amount of soda. This process of our money losing its spending value is what is called inflation. This is why your house goes up in resell value. It is not that your house is worth more it is that the dollar value is dropping and requiring more dollars to buy the same thing. Because of inflation any money you save will slowly lose its spending power and be worth less. If this is your retirement plan you will find out when you use the money that it does not buy as much as it used to. Putting your money into an investment that will give you a return that is greater than the inflation rate is the best way to preserve your money.

Live below your means- This advice is not explained very well to most people. Most people believe what this means is that we get a job and whatever they decide to pay us we have to change our dreams and habits to make sure we live below the level of income they give us. This advice just makes no sense to me. I admit that I enjoy having nice things and being able to travel and buy stuff that I want to have. All my life I was told "We can't afford that" and so just because we didn't have that much money I could not have what I wanted. There really are two camps of thought on this belief. The purists who really do live below their means and deal with whatever problems come their way they can't afford and the ones who think I can afford this payment. They are living below their means to the extent that they can make all the payments they have with their income. These people usually end up in major problems during hard times. They may lose their job or become injured or have other reasons their income lowers and they end up in a spiral of robbing peter to pay paul. Most of the time this happens during the holidays. They just charge it and pay it off by next christmas. They think that so long as they can afford the payment they are ok. Not realizing how much money is leaving their pocket in interest payments. They look rich yet they are cash poor. They leverage their future to have what they want today.

The Purists basically change their life to fit into their budget. If there is a job change they just live cheaper. They do tend to fare better in hard times because they usually own what they have and have money saved somewhere to help out. however they tend to live a life of little disappointments telling themselves why they can't have it. It is almost like hitting yourself every time you see something you want. They thrive on old technology and give in to what the boss pays them.

Sometimes people do take the effort to improve their education or work to get a raise so they can increase their means a little. This is good for the purists and bad for the spenders since they will just be making more payments now.

Our education system is set up to encourage us to listen to the teacher and not question what we are learning. To be fair you can ask questions yet when it reaches the point of questioning the teacher the student usually is put in their place. I'm sure we've all seen this happen in school. It is an authoritarian way to learn. It reinforces discipline and obedience. Now these are not bad things yet what about helping the kids to learn instead of telling them what to learn. We test kids so we make sure they are remembering the stuff we want them to remember. One thing we need to always remember is that your learning really begins when your formal education ends. The school system is about regurtitating facts and figures. Real learning is about discovery and opening your mind. I have spent a lot of time studying and learning on my own. I think I have learned more since graduating college than I learned in college. Some of the subjects I have studied a lot are: Quantum Mechanics, Psychology, Medicine, Nutrition, Astronomy, String Theory, Math, Chemistry, Economics, Economic history, U.S. history, Europe History, and many others.

While I think what I learned in school was good it pales in comparison to how much I have learned since then. I chose to teach others in a way that is not so much

"Do what I tell you" rather more " here is the direction to look for the answer". Teaching using the latest techniques and helping people to discover how to learn will make a world of difference in our learning.

Diversify for the Long term- I think anyone who has worked to understand the Economic crisis we are going through has realized how bad this advice is. Diversifying your portfolio has shown to be the best way to lower returns and easiest way to lose money in stocks. The thing to consider when someone tells you to diversify is are you really diversifying or not? you may be buying lots of different stocks in different sectors of the market yet your money is still all in paper assets. If the market hits a hard time they all go down. Diversifying works better when you are talking about having money in different asset classes. By this I mean owning some stock, having physical gold or silver (stocks & gold tend to work inversely of each other), owning some real estate and even having a business. This is why the rich usually don't lose money and everyone else does. It is extremely rare to have all asset classes go down at the same time ( if they are diversifying is the least of your worries). This way you can always have money flowing regardless of how things work out. Most asset classes go through phases where they are good then spend time being low. Knowing this trend will help you know where to put your money.

Intro

I decided that I wanted to put a blog together that will allow me to share my thoughts and ideas with anyone willing to listen. This is for things that come to my mind that I don't necessarily share with anyone else. Feel free to comment on these ideas I have and realize they are my ideas and not the gospel truth. I do my best to be accurate with my information. Enjoy!